artus33
0x49304219119bdbca8a6c20b2f3414dfb70a432eb
- Realised P&L
- $-25.3k
- Volume
- $453.6k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $5.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.125 | 0.085 | $5.4k | −$2.5k |
| UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) · Khamzat Chimaev | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.7k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.230US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$816.36at 0.550Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-03?
- +$3.47at 0.590Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
- +$-63.49at 0.630Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-03?
- +$-10.7kat 0.180Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 06:43 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1247185541 | $7.9k |
| 07-03 06:41 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.0321033008 | $940.73 |
| 07-03 06:41 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.035 | $10.79 |
| 07-03 06:41 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.035 | $18.49 |
| 07-03 06:41 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.0350941963 | $358.76 |
| 07-03 06:41 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.036 | $14.78 |
| 07-03 06:41 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.036 | $17.47 |
| 07-03 06:41 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.036 | $14.17 |
| 07-03 06:41 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.036 | $13.77 |
| 07-03 06:41 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.036 | $38.84 |
| 07-03 06:41 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.036 | $2.2k |
| 07-03 06:41 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.053 | $28.05 |
| 07-03 06:41 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.053 | $16.97 |
| 07-03 06:41 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.053 | $19.48 |
| 07-03 06:41 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.053 | $25.36 |