PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

KostyaDDD

0x4934b87b797da86247c7e5d826b1bf575ed35951

Realised P&L
$8.3k
Volume
$932.1k
Markets traded
890
Open portfolio
$929.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded890
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0170.022$288.00+$74.62
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.5570.490$225.82$30.69
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.3450.365$219.00+$12.00
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.2820.295$104.72+$4.62
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0540.044$92.40$20.88
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.1990.000$0.00$148.95
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres · San Francisco Giants0.4300.000$0.00$99.76
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$1.00
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$12.00
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$12.00
Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in June? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$0.13
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? · Yes0.2440.000$0.00$11.86
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves · Washington Nationals0.4170.000$0.00$149.98
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00$2.74
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 11:36Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay RaysBUY0.42$99.96
08-02 11:35Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles DodgersBUY0.41$99.63
08-02 11:32Detroit Tigers vs. AthleticsBUY0.52$99.84
08-01 21:16Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-08-01?BUY0.48$99.84
08-01 21:15Detroit Tigers vs. AthleticsBUY0.62$99.82
08-01 21:14Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado RockiesBUY0.53$99.64
08-01 21:13New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5BUY0.55$99.55
08-01 16:43Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta BravesBUY0.39$99.84
08-01 16:42Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-01?BUY0.46$61.30
07-31 20:08San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego PadresBUY0.43$99.76
07-31 20:08Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta BravesBUY0.48$99.84
07-29 19:07Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5BUY0.49$98.00
07-29 17:13Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5BUY0.47$33.84
07-27 19:03Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis CardinalsBUY0.53$106.00
07-27 19:03Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit TigersBUY0.48$96.00