KostyaDDD
0x4934b87b797da86247c7e5d826b1bf575ed35951
- Realised P&L
- $8.3k
- Volume
- $932.1k
- Markets traded
- 890
- Open portfolio
- $929.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded890
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.022Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?
- +$1.2kat 0.067US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
- +$853.21at 0.386Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$815.12at 0.381Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
- +$759.53at 0.011BitBoy convicted?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 11:36 | Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.42 | $99.96 |
| 08-02 11:35 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.41 | $99.63 |
| 08-02 11:32 | Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.52 | $99.84 |
| 08-01 21:16 | Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.48 | $99.84 |
| 08-01 21:15 | Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.62 | $99.82 |
| 08-01 21:14 | Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.53 | $99.64 |
| 08-01 21:13 | New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.55 | $99.55 |
| 08-01 16:43 | Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.39 | $99.84 |
| 08-01 16:42 | Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.46 | $61.30 |
| 07-31 20:08 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.43 | $99.76 |
| 07-31 20:08 | Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.48 | $99.84 |
| 07-29 19:07 | Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $98.00 |
| 07-29 17:13 | Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.47 | $33.84 |
| 07-27 19:03 | Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals | BUY | 0.53 | $106.00 |
| 07-27 19:03 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers | BUY | 0.48 | $96.00 |