Bumblefrog
0x495e26cff8a21b843043c7c4217c13ad5c319a96
- Realised P&L
- $-34.3k
- Volume
- $2.06M
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $16.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration99.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-17 19:11 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $179.91 |
| 06-17 11:30 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $500.00 |
| 06-17 11:22 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $170.00 |
| 06-17 02:52 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $400.00 |
| 06-16 18:43 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.1k |
| 06-06 10:48 | Will Solana dip to $60 in June? | SELL | 0.886 | $886.00 |
| 06-06 05:44 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.090154756 | $227.97 |
| 06-06 04:42 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.0876870622 | $2.4k |
| 06-06 04:40 | Will Solana dip to $60 in June? | SELL | 0.939 | $1.4k |
| 06-06 04:40 | Will Solana dip to $60 in June? | SELL | 0.9444683698 | $1.4k |
| 06-05 18:46 | Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30? | BUY | 0.01 | $4.00 |
| 06-05 18:46 | Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30? | BUY | 0.0088524367 | $9.54 |
| 06-02 13:21 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $314.04 |
| 06-02 12:31 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $900.00 |
| 06-02 10:48 | Will Solana dip to $60 in June? | BUY | 0.095 | $376.78 |