PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Darkmans

0x4988592b679f5c16253d52207ac09cbde26ae0e6

Realised P&L
$-563.31
Volume
$142.4k
Markets traded
100
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded100
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4520.345$1.2k$359.04
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? · Yes0.3440.025$1.79$22.86
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$47.60
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$672.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-08 09:03Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?BUY0.26$7.56
07-08 09:01Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?BUY0.27$19.71
07-08 08:57Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?BUY0.26$3.38
07-08 08:55Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?BUY0.25$10.00
07-08 08:55Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.186$89.28
07-08 08:44Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?BUY0.22$86.24
07-08 08:43Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?BUY0.21$12.07
07-08 08:38Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?BUY0.2135927958$20.64
07-08 08:38Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?BUY0.32$4.80
07-08 08:38Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?BUY0.2365346535$9.56
07-08 08:38Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?BUY0.2393537604$171.86
07-08 08:38Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?BUY0.35$19.86
07-08 08:37Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?BUY0.2205675589$27.36
07-08 08:37Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?BUY0.2265799214$275.48
07-08 08:37Will France win on 2026-07-09?SELL0.61$662.09