uhoh1
0x49a8c6ea1146a69b299cf7d5be3a63b366937153
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $613.5k
- Markets traded
- 162
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded162
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$434.99at 0.130Ethereum flipped in 2026?
- +$220.80at 0.520Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5
- +$165.00at 0.790Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
- +$152.49at 0.390Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
- +$142.37at 0.850Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 11:16 | Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.8 | $141.34 |
| 06-12 11:13 | 3Jane FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.93 | $295.39 |
| 06-12 11:10 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.059 | $10.68 |
| 06-12 11:03 | Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.49 | $49.00 |
| 06-12 11:00 | Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $239.20 |
| 06-12 10:53 | Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.31 | $35.47 |
| 06-12 10:53 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.35 | $105.00 |
| 06-06 13:21 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0703729167 | $33.78 |
| 04-09 11:49 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $294.41 |
| 03-16 15:37 | Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? | BUY | 0.09 | $89.70 |
| 03-16 15:30 | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.1643058859 | $77.24 |
| 03-08 20:23 | Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.74 | $296.00 |
| 03-05 15:22 | Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.68 | $272.00 |
| 03-05 15:21 | Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.543889 | $217.56 |
| 03-05 15:19 | Will Paradex launch a token by September 30 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $540.00 |