jjams
0x49b07c975ea9100333448388e84d31ed894eefd5
- Realised P&L
- $-483.48
- Volume
- $26.9k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $615.52
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes | 0.227 | 0.685 | $301.25 | +$201.25 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · Yes | 0.299 | 0.275 | $137.89 | −$12.11 |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.054 | $78.78 | +$20.78 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.055 | $50.00 | −$50.00 |
| Hugh Jackman as Wolverine? · No | 0.194 | 0.125 | $47.60 | −$26.37 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.188 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Hasan Piker arrested by June 30? · Yes | 0.112 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$160.00 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.98 |
| Ebola case in the US by June 30? · Yes | 0.215 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$110.00 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.074 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.46at 0.738Nothing Ever Happens: July
- +$0.72at 0.970Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 16:14 | Nothing Ever Happens: July | BUY | 0.7379999795 | $4.10 |
| 07-08 06:12 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1879999975 | $50.00 |
| 07-05 04:45 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | BUY | 0.2535853315 | $50.00 |
| 06-28 08:39 | Hasan Piker arrested by June 30? | BUY | 0.0134108157 | $10.00 |
| 06-28 08:38 | Ebola case in the US by June 30? | BUY | 0.0324245264 | $10.00 |
| 06-25 07:23 | Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.977 | $100.72 |
| 06-08 07:13 | Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999983 | $100.00 |
| 05-27 09:39 | Hasan Piker arrested by June 30? | BUY | 0.2207521762 | $150.00 |
| 05-26 10:01 | Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0401255501 | $58.00 |
| 05-24 09:08 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | BUY | 0.328668235 | $100.00 |
| 05-24 04:33 | Ebola case in the US by June 30? | BUY | 0.4950553868 | $100.00 |
| 05-24 02:49 | Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.9699999998 | $100.00 |
| 05-24 01:52 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.109999999 | $100.00 |
| 05-24 01:45 | Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0742219682 | $100.00 |
| 05-23 23:51 | Hugh Jackman as Wolverine? | BUY | 0.1942611929 | $73.97 |