PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x4a1e2116eb48766add5b9a83c73b46f515495b16

Realised P&L
$114.91
Volume
$48.9k
Markets traded
263
Open portfolio
$59.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded263
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before GTA VI? · Yes0.5000.500$22.00+$0.00
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9400.935$11.94$0.06
Warsaw: Julia Avdeeva vs Noma Noha Akugue · Julia Avdeeva0.4200.415$7.90$0.10
Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026? · No0.9900.995$4.02+$0.02
Los Cabos Open: Moise Kouame vs Grigor Dimitrov · Moise Kouame0.3500.500$2.86+$0.86
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? · No0.9600.955$1.99$0.01
Canadian Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jan-Lennard Struff · Alex Michelsen0.7300.725$1.99$0.01
Bloomfield Hills: Alexis Galarneau vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz · Alexis Galarneau0.5090.500$1.96$0.04
National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino · Jacob Fearnley0.6200.605$1.95$0.05
Will Hyperliquid introduce KYC by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.780$1.75$0.25
Los Cabos Open: Moise Kouame vs Grigor Dimitrov · Grigor Dimitrov0.6600.500$1.52$0.48
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 31? · No0.0150.001$0.03$0.97
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 25? · No0.4600.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 30? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET · Up0.0900.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 05:47Warsaw: Julia Avdeeva vs Noma Noha AkugueBUY0.4199999454$2.00
08-03 05:43Warsaw: Julia Avdeeva vs Noma Noha AkugueBUY0.4199999454$2.00
08-03 05:31Warsaw: Julia Avdeeva vs Noma Noha AkugueBUY0.4199999454$2.00
08-03 05:30Warsaw: Julia Avdeeva vs Noma Noha AkugueBUY0.4199999454$2.00
08-03 05:18National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian MannarinoBUY0.619999969$2.00
08-03 05:04Will BP be acquired before 2027?SELL0.969$2.03
08-03 05:04Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?SELL0.69$1.23
08-03 05:02Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra EalaSELL0.8$8.13
08-03 02:50New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? BUY0.9599996544$2.00
08-02 07:50Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.94$2.00
08-02 07:48Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.94$2.00
08-02 07:47Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.94$2.00
08-02 07:11Canadian Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jan-Lennard StruffBUY0.7299999087$2.00
08-02 06:29Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.94$2.00
08-02 06:28Will BP be acquired before 2027?BUY0.95$2.00