PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

rx8549o867549

0x4a1f13f733dae181838b216d238e7ea3de891a9f

Realised P&L
$2.7k
Volume
$3.87M
Markets traded
5,246
Open portfolio
$488.17

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,246
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be between $1,170,000 and $1,180,000 on April 30? · Yes0.2301.000$10.01+$7.71
Will ground beef hit $7 per pound in 2026? · No0.1380.560$6.83+$5.14
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $220 end of April? · Yes0.9001.000$6.26+$0.63
Will Vitality win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026? · Yes0.8711.000$5.68+$0.73
Will Manuel "Manu" Ibero win Big Brother Argentina 2026? · Yes0.0570.395$5.53+$4.73
Will Bilibili Gaming win LPL 2026 Split 2? · Yes0.5801.000$5.16+$2.17
Will Brandon Aiyuk play for Buffalo Bills in 2026-27? · Yes0.0050.212$5.10+$4.99
Will Mosè Singh as Denji (Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Italian) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards? · Yes0.1201.000$5.09+$4.48
Will BetBoom Team qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? · Yes0.9321.000$5.00+$0.34
Will "Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc" win Film of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards? · No0.6501.000$5.00+$1.75
Will Encore Medical not IPO before June 2026? · Yes0.4301.000$5.00+$2.85
Will "Gachiakuta" win Best New Series at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards? · Yes0.3731.000$4.96+$3.11
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April? · No0.3401.000$4.75+$3.13
Will Jerry Carl be the Republican nominee for AL-01? · Yes0.3300.950$4.75+$3.10
Will Aoi Yuki as Maomao (The Apothecary Diaries Season 2) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Japanese) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards? · Yes0.2271.000$4.66+$3.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 20:50Will George Pickens play for Carolina Panthers in 2026-27?SELL0.08$0.15
07-11 07:55Will Mohamed Salah play in Egyptian Premier League next?SELL0.001$0.01
07-11 07:51Will Mohamed Salah play in Egyptian Premier League next?SELL0.001$0.02
07-11 07:48Will Eduardo Leite finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.001$0.20
07-10 21:08Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2026 NFC South?SELL0.3$4.56
07-09 06:01Will the Tampa Bay Rays win more than 78.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?SELL0.04$0.20
07-06 16:07Will the Tampa Bay Rays win more than 78.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?SELL0.1$1.08
07-03 12:06Will Corinthians win Brazil Série A?SELL0.001$0.02
07-03 11:51Will Corinthians win Brazil Série A?SELL0.001$0.04
07-03 11:31Will Corinthians win Brazil Série A?SELL0.001$0.04
07-03 11:31Will Vitória win Brazil Série A?SELL0.001$0.05
07-01 14:05Will Chicago Sky win the 2026 WNBA Finals?SELL0.001$0.07
06-30 17:27Will Neil Saravanamuttoo win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?SELL0.004$0.02
06-30 07:53Will Mohamed Salah play in Egyptian Premier League next?SELL0.04$0.43
06-30 01:24Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Detroit Lions in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.001$0.03