CantStopWontStop
0x4a3b6ae4cccdd47cbd8563cd813155761deb3149
- Realised P&L
- $834.54
- Volume
- $312.5k
- Markets traded
- 364
- Open portfolio
- $4.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded364
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$141.62at 0.332US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$112.61at 0.402US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$59.06at 0.036Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?
- +$58.67at 0.484US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
- +$57.05at 0.015Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:50 | Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be 350k or more? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.24 |
| 07-27 22:16 | Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.28 |
| 07-27 16:14 | Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.15 |
| 07-27 16:07 | Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.40 |
| 07-27 15:32 | Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.024 | $0.60 |
| 07-27 13:01 | Andrii Sybiha appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Foreign Affairs by July 31? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.09 |
| 07-27 12:41 | Yevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by July 31? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.03 |
| 07-27 09:31 | Yevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by July 31? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.06 |
| 07-26 22:56 | Will Seattle have between 2 and 2.5 inches of precipitation in July? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 07-26 22:48 | Will Seattle have between 2 and 2.5 inches of precipitation in July? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.15 |
| 07-26 22:40 | Will Seattle have between 2 and 2.5 inches of precipitation in July? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.10 |
| 07-26 18:00 | Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.03 |
| 07-26 17:52 | Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.10 |
| 07-26 10:27 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.11 |
| 07-25 20:16 | Will Trey Gowdy be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.09 |