PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x4aa87D513621C74A091f514E9c14B52377F46531-1779355201172

0x4aa87d513621c74a091f514e9c14b52377f46531

Realised P&L
$-23.4k
Volume
$533.8k
Markets traded
95
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded95
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.2071.000$999.51+$792.26
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.2590.001$0.50$258.16
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31? · No0.2610.000$0.00$671.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 06:19Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?BUY0.25866$258.66
08-01 05:03Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.2493934983$41.12
08-01 04:27Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by July 31, 2026?BUY0.999$53.95
08-01 04:20Will Donald Trump publicly insult Viktor Orbán by July 31, 2026?BUY0.999$154.84
08-01 04:07Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?SELL0.001$5.02
07-30 21:58Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?BUY0.769$384.50
07-30 21:57Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?BUY0.76$76.00
07-30 21:07Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?BUY0.7019551324$536.00
07-30 21:01Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?BUY0.6984143142$59.62
07-30 21:00Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?BUY0.6935858848$576.97
07-30 20:46Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?BUY0.698371245$1.4k
07-30 20:44Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?BUY0.676$10.15
07-30 20:44Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?BUY0.665826125$304.05
07-29 01:30Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 28, 2026?BUY0.9988170339$201.71
07-29 01:15Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 28, 2026?BUY0.99$99.00