rookie888
0x4ac667dad087ceb4693144fb205ef5f66ad8a8ce
- Realised P&L
- $-4.2k
- Volume
- $172.8k
- Markets traded
- 165
- Open portfolio
- $227.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded165
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · Yes | 0.128 | 0.181 | $227.08 | +$67.08 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers · Chicago White Sox | 0.484 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$78.00 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.458 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$175.00 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.252 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.4k |
| Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5) · Chicago White Sox | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$32.00 |
| Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes | 0.293 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.00 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays · Chicago White Sox | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$97.17 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins · Chicago White Sox | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.00 |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? · Yes | 0.291 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.00 |
| Will United States win on 2026-07-06? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) · Conor McGregor | 0.295 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$206.24 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.562 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$680.00 |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic · Novak Djokovic | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Knicks vs. Spurs · Spurs | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$355.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.232Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$676.71at 0.129Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$673.46at 0.465England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$455.96at 0.510Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
- +$442.45at 0.530France vs. England: Team to Win
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 00:01 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.4199999922 | $15.00 |
| 08-02 23:58 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.508474573 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 19:47 | Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.53 | $225.00 |
| 08-02 07:16 | Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.1278844689 | $160.00 |
| 08-02 03:00 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | SELL | 0.32 | $56.13 |
| 08-02 02:59 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds | SELL | 0.98 | $150.25 |
| 08-02 00:33 | New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.3799999975 | $49.41 |
| 08-02 00:33 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | SELL | 0.62 | $51.88 |
| 08-01 22:47 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.5 | $76.66 |
| 08-01 22:47 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | SELL | 0.6 | $79.27 |
| 08-01 22:17 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.6099999995 | $335.79 |
| 08-01 19:47 | Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.4 | $150.00 |
| 07-31 20:50 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.5499999993 | $292.92 |
| 07-31 15:00 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $303.02 |
| 07-30 04:45 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999934 | $26.00 |