PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x4ad6f0f4e0799bf87b7fec2595b7cd6be5cebf78

Realised P&L
$-2.7k
Volume
$361.6k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0130.003$515.82$2.1k
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0170.006$412.55$731.24
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0050.004$154.37$69.91
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0440.076$1.74+$0.74
Will the US strike Iran next? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$19.99
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00$5.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March? · No0.0020.000$0.00$27.75
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$1.00
Will the US strike Iran next? · Yes0.0550.000$0.00$4.00
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00$30.00
Will the US strike another country first? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$2.00
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$15.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$10.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$17.60
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? · No0.0490.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 08:55Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0252473118$7.04
08-02 08:55Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0252960563$50.00
08-02 08:54Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.024990004$100.00
08-02 08:54Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.024980016$50.00
08-02 08:53Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0061514288$25.40
08-02 08:08Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0249003984$10.00
08-02 08:07Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.022894759$4.35
08-02 08:07Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0217726922$4.79
08-02 08:06Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0197372452$38.61
08-02 08:03Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.006$6.00
08-02 07:59Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0064583772$35.22
08-02 07:58Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0162203238$70.19
08-02 07:58Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0030361368$58.46
08-02 07:58Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.003$100.00
08-02 07:58Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.002$17.88