PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

gfg434

0x4af862be4c89a9dc188586212e959fcd177e4711

Realised P&L
$-18.85
Volume
$5.9k
Markets traded
214
Open portfolio
$43.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded214
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration5.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.8300.895$17.90+$1.30
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.6700.655$13.10$0.30
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.6400.605$12.10$0.70
Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-02-21? · No0.6400.000$0.00$19.20
Maple Leafs vs. Oilers · Oilers0.6200.000$0.00$12.40
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 6? · No0.0800.000$0.00$3.20
UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Julius Walker (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) · Walker0.3700.000$0.00$7.40
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 27? · No0.6600.000$0.00$3.30
Knicks vs. Cavaliers · Knicks0.3900.000$0.00$11.70
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 27? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$1.00
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · No0.8700.000$0.00$26.10
Sharks vs. Blackhawks · Sharks0.5000.000$0.00$10.00
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5 · Under0.5100.000$0.00$10.20
Pistons vs. Knicks · Knicks0.5800.000$0.00$11.60
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 27? · No0.4300.000$0.00$2.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-28 12:10Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?SELL0.989$19.77
06-28 12:10Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.931$18.61
06-28 12:09Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?SELL0.998$19.96
06-28 05:59Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 29?BUY0.5802319902$4.75
06-27 15:56Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 28?BUY0.6731972789$4.95
06-27 10:44Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 27?BUY0.0464202613$2.59
06-27 10:44Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 27?BUY0.71$4.93
06-27 10:44Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 28?BUY0.07$2.63
06-27 10:44Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 28?BUY0.7$4.86
06-27 06:11Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 27?BUY0.68$4.92
06-27 06:11Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 27?BUY0.64$4.92
06-27 06:11Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 27?BUY0.64$4.92
06-27 06:11Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 29?BUY0.6$4.91
06-27 06:11Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 28?BUY0.6$4.91
06-27 06:11Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 28?BUY0.65$4.92