helic0pter
0x4b3e2546b0cd99f7583340a16768a58b465acfae
- Realised P&L
- $2.7k
- Volume
- $111.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,985
- Open portfolio
- $585.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,985
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration76.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$968.00at 0.001Exact Score: FC København 0 - 3 Lyngby BK?
- +$293.85at 0.030Will Oklahoma win the 2026 College World Series?
- +$272.35at 0.002Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be at least 152m?
- +$117.37at 0.118Will North Carolina win the 2026 College World Series?
- +$108.84at 0.004Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:05 | Will OpenAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.05 |
| 08-02 19:46 | Will Fred Wellman be the MO-02 Democratic nominee? | SELL | 0.046 | $0.22 |
| 08-02 17:25 | Will Union Espanola win on 2026-08-02? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.16 |
| 08-02 13:25 | Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $2.50 on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.04 |
| 08-02 05:39 | Will FK Austria Wien win on 2026-08-06? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.10 |
| 08-02 05:32 | Will A Just Russia win the next Orenburg Oblast Parliament elections? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.05 |
| 08-02 05:32 | Exact Score: Club Nacional de Football 3 - 3 CA Progreso? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.06 |
| 08-01 13:32 | Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms? | SELL | 0.045 | $0.26 |
| 08-01 13:32 | Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.19 |
| 08-01 10:13 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.10 |
| 08-01 10:11 | Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and ≤207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.06 |
| 08-01 10:11 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.43 |
| 07-31 13:31 | Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.03 |
| 07-31 13:30 | Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms? | SELL | 0.068 | $0.43 |
| 07-29 06:46 | Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.01 |