DonaldPumpJr
0x4b4bdc29a9ad4caedae5f1139ff8373dede0cbf7
- Realised P&L
- $-4.8k
- Volume
- $367.8k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $37.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.228 | 0.205 | $35.4k | −$4.0k |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.011 | $1.2k | +$175.68 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.093 | $621.94 | +$262.75 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes | 0.095 | 0.032 | $516.28 | −$1.0k |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.011 | $105.00 | +$15.00 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$135.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.00at 0.780Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
- +$-20.00at 0.008Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 16:35 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.22 | $4.0k |
| 05-07 20:26 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0559999997 | $200.00 |
| 05-07 20:24 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.24 | $4.0k |
| 04-30 16:24 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.007 | $140.00 |
| 04-30 01:19 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $156.00 |
| 04-29 11:49 | Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.009 | $90.00 |
| 04-29 11:48 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.008 | $160.00 |
| 04-29 11:47 | Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.009 | $900.00 |