PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

DonaldPumpJr

0x4b4bdc29a9ad4caedae5f1139ff8373dede0cbf7

Realised P&L
$-4.8k
Volume
$367.8k
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$37.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration93.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2280.205$35.4k$4.0k
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.011$1.2k+$175.68
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0540.093$621.94+$262.75
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0950.032$516.28$1.0k
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.011$105.00+$15.00
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$135.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-08 16:35Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.22$4.0k
05-07 20:26Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0559999997$200.00
05-07 20:24Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.24$4.0k
04-30 16:24Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.007$140.00
04-30 01:19Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?BUY0.78$156.00
04-29 11:49Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.009$90.00
04-29 11:48Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.008$160.00
04-29 11:47Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.009$900.00