PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x4BABdFf767e9D62D98df2A770571bBECE6A75FA0-1724210945866

0x4babdff767e9d62d98df2a770571bbece6a75fa0

Realised P&L
$4.1k
Volume
$145.8k
Markets traded
158
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded158
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.4980.075$202.50$1.1k
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026? · No0.8101.000$200.00+$38.00
Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 7M ETH before 2027? · No0.4470.945$141.75+$74.75
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? · No0.3400.755$109.78+$60.27
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9540.914$91.45$3.95
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.6700.158$86.63$282.17
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.7700.855$85.50+$8.50
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? · Yes0.5800.395$79.00$37.00
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1000.146$73.25+$23.25
Will SpaceX have less than 100 launches in 2026? · No0.5000.996$59.76+$29.76
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? · Yes0.6500.145$58.00$202.00
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4800.445$44.50$3.50
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.2700.145$36.25$31.25
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? · Yes0.2950.050$34.65$172.15
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? · No0.8000.655$32.75$7.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-20 14:02US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.69$34.50
03-20 14:01US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.57$114.00
03-19 14:19Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?BUY0.27$2.70
03-19 07:08US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.69$34.50
03-19 07:04Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?SELL0.14$4.20
03-19 07:04Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?SELL0.039$3.90
03-18 09:58Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.642$32.10
03-18 09:57US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.62$107.88
03-18 04:36Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.645$129.00
03-18 04:27US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY0.91$91.00
03-18 04:24100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by March 31?SELL0.051$5.10
03-18 04:23US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.62$124.00
03-17 12:25Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.44$88.00
03-17 09:53Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?BUY0.27$54.00
03-17 06:2650m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by March 31?SELL0.054$2.28