0x4BABdFf767e9D62D98df2A770571bBECE6A75FA0-1724210945866
0x4babdff767e9d62d98df2a770571bbece6a75fa0
- Realised P&L
- $4.1k
- Volume
- $145.8k
- Markets traded
- 158
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded158
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.382Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
- +$1.5kat 0.416Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?
- +$1.3kat 0.601Bitcoin new all time high in 2024?
- +$1.1kat 0.878Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
- +$699.71at 0.489Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-20 14:02 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.69 | $34.50 |
| 03-20 14:01 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.57 | $114.00 |
| 03-19 14:19 | Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $2.70 |
| 03-19 07:08 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.69 | $34.50 |
| 03-19 07:04 | Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.14 | $4.20 |
| 03-19 07:04 | Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.039 | $3.90 |
| 03-18 09:58 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.642 | $32.10 |
| 03-18 09:57 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.62 | $107.88 |
| 03-18 04:36 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.645 | $129.00 |
| 03-18 04:27 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $91.00 |
| 03-18 04:24 | 100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by March 31? | SELL | 0.051 | $5.10 |
| 03-18 04:23 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.62 | $124.00 |
| 03-17 12:25 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.44 | $88.00 |
| 03-17 09:53 | Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $54.00 |
| 03-17 06:26 | 50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by March 31? | SELL | 0.054 | $2.28 |