VorpalQuark
0x4bb254b64c93730e18c89759712f2b003647a656
- Realised P&L
- $26.7k
- Volume
- $2.85M
- Markets traded
- 1,126
- Open portfolio
- $15.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,126
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.4kat 0.298Will there be a US Government shutdown?
- +$17.9kat 0.489Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$11.3kat 0.487Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?
- +$8.9kat 0.141Trump wins every swing state?
- +$8.2kat 0.246Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 19:42 | France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4025 | $402.50 |
| 07-12 00:12 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.97 | $433.26 |
| 06-19 18:52 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.53 | $204.37 |
| 06-13 00:45 | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.47 | $470.00 |
| 06-13 00:06 | Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5) | BUY | 0.34 | $177.34 |
| 06-11 13:55 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.84 | $499.80 |
| 06-11 13:53 | Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.0639990064 | $427.04 |
| 06-11 13:49 | Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.72 | $147.60 |
| 06-11 13:45 | Will Colombia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.14 | $5.60 |
| 06-11 13:43 | Will Belgium reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.85 | $6.31 |
| 06-11 13:43 | Will Belgium reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.85 | $212.50 |
| 06-11 13:38 | Will Belgium reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.63 | $504.00 |
| 06-11 13:25 | Will Ghana reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0599822222 | $101.22 |
| 06-11 13:20 | Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.38 | $72.46 |
| 06-11 13:17 | Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.54 | $138.80 |