PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

cesarcc

0x4bf2845651c0094e8cf3f8cbcb4279e3c166d280

Realised P&L
$36.2k
Volume
$1.78M
Markets traded
7,928
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded7,928
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Valur Reykjavik vs. Stjarnan Gardabae: O/U 0.5 · Over0.9690.975$309.55+$1.81
IA Akranes vs. Vikingur Reykjavik: O/U 0.5 · Over0.9700.996$308.96+$7.96
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner · Team Liquid0.5750.505$176.54$24.46
CA Central Norte Salta vs. Club Atletico Los Andes: O/U 3.5 · Under0.8800.995$127.36+$14.72
CA Central Norte Salta vs. Club Atletico Los Andes: O/U 4.5 · Under0.9640.996$127.02+$4.02
CD Moquegua vs. FBC Melgar: O/U 4.5 · Under0.9401.000$99.95+$5.95
Angers SCO vs. Le Mans FC: O/U 2.5 · Under0.3700.175$84.90$94.60
Team Liquid vs LGD Gaming: Draw (1-1)? · Yes0.9860.904$73.37$6.63
CA Lanús vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 3.5 · Under0.8500.855$51.04+$0.30
Will LDU Quito win on 2026-08-03? · No0.2400.260$24.76+$1.90
Angers SCO vs. Le Mans FC: O/U 3.5 · Under0.5610.024$13.75$307.85
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-08-03? · No0.3600.380$9.19+$0.48
CSD Macara vs. Guayaquil City FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Over0.9901.000$7.00+$0.07
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A · PARIVISION0.7100.000$0.00$300.50
LoL: ZeroZone Gaming vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season · ZeroZone Gaming0.3000.000$0.00$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 22:23CA Lanús vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 3.5BUY0.85$50.75
08-02 22:00Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-08-03?BUY0.36$8.71
08-02 21:20CSD Macara vs. Guayaquil City FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5BUY0.99$6.93
08-02 21:02CD Moquegua vs. FBC Melgar: O/U 4.5BUY0.94$94.00
08-02 20:32CA Central Norte Salta vs. Club Atletico Los Andes: O/U 3.5BUY0.88$112.64
08-02 20:25CA Central Norte Salta vs. Club Atletico Los Andes: O/U 4.5BUY0.9639999999$123.00
08-02 18:35Team Liquid vs LGD Gaming: Draw (1-1)?BUY0.9889999998$50.00
08-02 18:34Team Liquid vs LGD Gaming: Draw (1-1)?BUY0.9889999991$10.00
08-02 18:32The Hundred: MI London vs Manchester Super GiantsBUY0.74$150.00
08-02 18:21Team Liquid vs LGD Gaming: Draw (1-1)?BUY0.9699999981$10.00
08-02 18:20Team Liquid vs LGD Gaming: Draw (1-1)?BUY0.9860139784$10.00
08-02 17:46Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.5699999991$100.00
08-02 17:32Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.5799999977$101.00
08-02 17:01Will FC Hegelmann Kaunas vs. FK Transinvest end in a draw?BUY0.95$9.50
08-02 17:01Will FC Hegelmann Kaunas win on 2026-08-02?BUY0.99$17.00