Helloworld452
0x4c2fbd8f55d15c3871df9f954499afe2a83c3794
- Realised P&L
- $-17.4k
- Volume
- $4.39M
- Markets traded
- 160
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded160
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.9kat 0.365Patriots vs. Ravens
- +$11.0kat 0.284Packers vs. Broncos
- +$4.8kat 0.243Clemson Tigers vs. BYU Cougars
- +$4.7kat 0.418Knicks vs. Celtics
- +$4.5kat 0.470Spread: Patriots (-7.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-15 17:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | BUY | 0.0699999969 | $19.96 |
| 02-09 05:09 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0277999703 | $109.00 |
| 02-09 05:09 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.026 | $36.40 |
| 02-08 21:33 | Will Christian Gonzalez win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | BUY | 0.0040088917 | $4.00 |
| 02-08 21:33 | Will Kayshon Boutte win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | BUY | 0.0027027027 | $1.00 |
| 02-08 21:32 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.009 | $180.00 |
| 02-07 18:27 | Will Christian Gonzalez win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | BUY | 0.006779661 | $1.00 |
| 02-07 18:26 | Will Kayshon Boutte win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.27 |
| 02-07 18:25 | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.0206946319 | $48.46 |
| 02-04 20:26 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.028 | $252.00 |
| 02-04 20:25 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.024 | $251.07 |
| 02-04 20:23 | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.009 | $20.00 |
| 02-04 04:36 | Will Christian Gonzalez win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | BUY | 0.007 | $13.00 |
| 02-03 22:57 | Will Kayshon Boutte win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | BUY | 0.006 | $50.00 |
| 02-03 22:48 | Will Kayshon Boutte win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | BUY | 0.006 | $20.00 |