PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Helloworld452

0x4c2fbd8f55d15c3871df9f954499afe2a83c3794

Realised P&L
$-17.4k
Volume
$4.39M
Markets traded
160
Open portfolio
$2.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded160
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0180.013$982.50$415.79
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.005$492.17$253.78
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0280.025$421.15$39.83
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.006$416.81$130.05
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0260.025$245.00$14.27
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0090.009$42.00+$3.00
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0050.003$2.26$2.74
Seahawks vs. 49ers · 49ers0.3680.000$0.00$3.2k
Celtics vs. Trail Blazers · Celtics0.4590.000$0.00$200.00
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$60.00
Commanders vs. Vikings · Commanders0.4600.000$0.00$1.2k
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$12.00
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00$1.3k
Will Ethereum reach $3,700 January 12-18? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.00
Dominican (CA) Penguins vs. California Golden Bears · Dominican (CA) Penguins0.1000.000$0.00$200.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-15 17:47Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETBUY0.0699999969$19.96
02-09 05:09Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0277999703$109.00
02-09 05:09Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.026$36.40
02-08 21:33Will Christian Gonzalez win the Super Bowl LX MVP?BUY0.0040088917$4.00
02-08 21:33Will Kayshon Boutte win the Super Bowl LX MVP?BUY0.0027027027$1.00
02-08 21:32Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.009$180.00
02-07 18:27Will Christian Gonzalez win the Super Bowl LX MVP?BUY0.006779661$1.00
02-07 18:26Will Kayshon Boutte win the Super Bowl LX MVP?BUY0.003$0.27
02-07 18:25Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.0206946319$48.46
02-04 20:26Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.028$252.00
02-04 20:25Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.024$251.07
02-04 20:23Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.009$20.00
02-04 04:36Will Christian Gonzalez win the Super Bowl LX MVP?BUY0.007$13.00
02-03 22:57Will Kayshon Boutte win the Super Bowl LX MVP?BUY0.006$50.00
02-03 22:48Will Kayshon Boutte win the Super Bowl LX MVP?BUY0.006$20.00
Trader Helloworld452 · PolyBot