bigbluejay
0x4cbe5306af0473ae7499096fece9e8c7689f100a
- Realised P&L
- $4.2k
- Volume
- $961.7k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $32.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration88.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.3kat 0.533 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$1.8kat 0.087US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$193.12at 0.203Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$179.06at 0.605US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
- +$154.45at 0.455Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:56 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | BUY | 0.1481188835 | $17.00 |
| 08-02 21:51 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | SELL | 0.27 | $2.70 |
| 08-02 17:21 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $3.25 |
| 08-02 14:10 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.2370793591 | $26.00 |
| 08-02 14:10 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.2399999937 | $26.00 |
| 08-02 14:10 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.2399999937 | $26.00 |
| 08-02 14:10 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.2399999937 | $26.00 |
| 08-02 14:10 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.2399999937 | $26.00 |
| 08-02 14:10 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.2311111111 | $26.00 |
| 08-02 14:10 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.2399999937 | $26.00 |
| 08-02 14:10 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.2399999937 | $26.00 |
| 08-02 14:10 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.2381679334 | $26.00 |
| 08-02 14:10 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.2299999937 | $26.00 |
| 08-02 14:10 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.2299999937 | $26.00 |
| 08-02 14:10 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.2299999937 | $26.00 |