PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

bigbluejay

0x4cbe5306af0473ae7499096fece9e8c7689f100a

Realised P&L
$4.2k
Volume
$961.7k
Markets traded
70
Open portfolio
$32.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded70
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration88.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · Yes0.3210.275$25.2k$4.2k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1940.205$3.3k+$180.82
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? · Yes0.1870.140$967.21$322.69
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes0.2310.205$737.36$94.61
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.1340.135$704.79+$4.62
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.0990.075$502.50$160.49
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2600.255$489.60$9.60
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? · Yes0.0450.025$245.32$204.62
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? · Yes0.4200.205$87.86$92.14
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · Yes0.6080.190$46.72$102.90
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.2740.000$0.00$0.71
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · No0.7170.000$0.00$307.43
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00$583.20
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$255.79
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? · Yes0.3510.000$0.00$0.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 22:56Iran full airspace closure by August 15?BUY0.1481188835$17.00
08-02 21:51 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?SELL0.27$2.70
08-02 17:21 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?BUY0.25$3.25
08-02 14:10Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.2370793591$26.00
08-02 14:10Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.2399999937$26.00
08-02 14:10Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.2399999937$26.00
08-02 14:10Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.2399999937$26.00
08-02 14:10Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.2399999937$26.00
08-02 14:10Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.2311111111$26.00
08-02 14:10Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.2399999937$26.00
08-02 14:10Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.2399999937$26.00
08-02 14:10Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.2381679334$26.00
08-02 14:10Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.2299999937$26.00
08-02 14:10Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.2299999937$26.00
08-02 14:10Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.2299999937$26.00