oneoftheppl
0x4d1de0d8bf27bbb1f34545e974cfb794ac8e01ac
- Realised P&L
- $4.1k
- Volume
- $815.0k
- Markets traded
- 4,826
- Open portfolio
- $15.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,826
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration35.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.094Will "Little Brother" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
- +$910.00at 0.090Exact Score: England 2 - 1 DR Congo?
- +$788.54at 0.112Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
- +$722.70at 0.036Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 0.5
- +$699.12at 0.029KKS Lech Poznań vs. Aarhus GF: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 05:43 | Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | BUY | 0.07 | $10.50 |
| 08-03 05:23 | Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Wyndham Championship? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.48 |
| 08-03 05:23 | Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Wyndham Championship? | BUY | 0.02 | $3.00 |
| 08-03 05:22 | Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Wyndham Championship? | BUY | 0.02 | $3.00 |
| 08-03 05:22 | Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Wyndham Championship? | BUY | 0.02 | $3.00 |
| 08-03 05:21 | Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Wyndham Championship? | BUY | 0.02 | $3.00 |
| 08-03 05:18 | Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Wyndham Championship? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.06 |
| 08-03 04:20 | Will Ben Griffin win the 2026 Wyndham Championship? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.12 |
| 08-03 03:51 | Will Philip Sarnecki win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.0589707607 | $2.34 |
| 08-03 03:06 | Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.96 | $38.40 |
| 08-03 02:58 | Will Denver Summit FC win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.92 | $44.98 |
| 08-03 02:56 | Will Denver Summit FC win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.89 | $8.90 |
| 08-03 02:40 | Spread: Boston Legacy FC (-2.5) | BUY | 0.875999996 | $7.01 |
| 08-03 02:32 | Will Denver Summit FC win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 08-03 02:24 | Independiente Santa Fe vs. Once Caldas: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.98 | $98.00 |