PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

oneoftheppl

0x4d1de0d8bf27bbb1f34545e974cfb794ac8e01ac

Realised P&L
$4.1k
Volume
$815.0k
Markets traded
4,826
Open portfolio
$15.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,826
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration35.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 8? · No0.9720.997$2.3k+$55.48
Will "Been By Now - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8? · No0.9810.994$2.2k+$30.22
Will "Boston - Stella Lefty" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 8? · No0.9820.997$992.52+$14.03
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? · No0.9291.000$750.29+$53.09
Will Riz Ahmed – “Bait” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie? · No0.7800.895$604.98+$77.34
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8? · Yes0.7790.991$487.66+$104.18
CD Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: Second half draw? · No0.6890.510$477.40$167.23
Will Joy Sunday – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie? · No0.8410.954$439.88+$52.24
Will Suzzanna V. Tanner advance to the general election for WA-03? · No0.9750.997$333.52+$7.24
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting? · Yes0.8460.982$314.62+$43.47
Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1640.105$300.36$169.13
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · No0.7620.974$294.38+$64.13
Will "Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8? · No0.9800.996$247.02+$3.93
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? · No0.2190.435$224.46+$111.60
Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8? · No0.9780.999$211.68+$4.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 05:43Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?BUY0.07$10.50
08-03 05:23Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Wyndham Championship?BUY0.02$1.48
08-03 05:23Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Wyndham Championship?BUY0.02$3.00
08-03 05:22Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Wyndham Championship?BUY0.02$3.00
08-03 05:22Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Wyndham Championship?BUY0.02$3.00
08-03 05:21Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Wyndham Championship?BUY0.02$3.00
08-03 05:18Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Wyndham Championship?BUY0.02$1.06
08-03 04:20Will Ben Griffin win the 2026 Wyndham Championship?BUY0.02$1.12
08-03 03:51Will Philip Sarnecki win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.0589707607$2.34
08-03 03:06Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5)BUY0.96$38.40
08-03 02:58Will Denver Summit FC win on 2026-08-02?BUY0.92$44.98
08-03 02:56Will Denver Summit FC win on 2026-08-02?BUY0.89$8.90
08-03 02:40Spread: Boston Legacy FC (-2.5)BUY0.875999996$7.01
08-03 02:32Will Denver Summit FC win on 2026-08-02?BUY0.93$9.30
08-03 02:24Independiente Santa Fe vs. Once Caldas: O/U 2.5BUY0.98$98.00