Iron985
0x4d21673352c8a507fdb451eef921c2dbbb9c9e1b
- Realised P&L
- $-2.7k
- Volume
- $30.5k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.273 | 0.095 | $1.6k | −$3.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$336.74at 0.840Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.02at 0.994Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-05 15:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3276338287 | $590.63 |
| 06-05 15:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2666568561 | $4.0k |
| 06-04 22:29 | Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $6.0k |
| 06-03 17:53 | Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.996 | $8.01 |
| 05-17 22:13 | Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9939999662 | $8.00 |
| 05-17 05:20 | Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $5.7k |
| 05-15 18:51 | Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $3.94 |