PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

bitcoinmafia

0x4d3e6f882536f5bde89d20a64e2198b1c1e8783b

Realised P&L
$13.4k
Volume
$2.82M
Markets traded
1,215
Open portfolio
$43.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,215
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? · No0.3670.655$14.7k+$6.5k
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · No0.5210.925$11.2k+$4.9k
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6830.820$8.3k+$1.4k
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? · No0.3010.754$5.0k+$3.0k
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6100.425$1.9k$832.49
Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4620.755$935.92+$362.69
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? · No0.4280.825$677.56+$325.84
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.5870.195$230.09$462.49
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.5500.865$223.58+$81.42
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.4500.705$183.30+$66.30
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.4600.055$55.00$404.98
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December? · No0.6350.915$35.98+$10.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 09:35Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.79$3.9k
07-30 09:27Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6$657.14
07-18 19:52Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4978492936$76.11
07-09 08:39Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 5.5BUY0.965$2.3k
07-08 07:47Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at <$350 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?BUY0.19$285.00
06-23 09:56Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.96$187.18
06-23 07:54Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3795481145$5.0k
06-23 07:51Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3499099845$194.36
06-23 07:51Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4698996832$142.40
06-21 09:02Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.58$661.88
06-19 07:25Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.46$430.83
06-18 19:02Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3350959862$855.49
06-18 19:01Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.59$1.2k
06-18 19:01Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5697702998$248.05
06-17 21:51Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.52$80.59