EggPudgy
0x4dae7400b8fea725dcc28098b8f3e5bdbc083ea8
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $116.6k
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $16.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration97.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.507 | 0.555 | $15.9k | +$1.4k |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.428 | 0.495 | $412.11 | +$55.36 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 14:50 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $1.2k |
| 08-01 14:50 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $1.1k |
| 08-01 14:50 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4104411757 | $899.60 |
| 08-01 14:49 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4108318504 | $756.80 |
| 08-01 14:49 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4138752987 | $628.67 |
| 08-01 14:47 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4461966667 | $20.08 |
| 08-01 14:42 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4249328421 | $403.69 |
| 08-01 14:41 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4301762768 | $52.22 |
| 08-01 14:36 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4620148421 | $302.26 |
| 08-01 14:32 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4737269306 | $521.07 |
| 08-01 14:31 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4809217294 | $817.57 |
| 08-01 14:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5190220231 | $3.3k |
| 08-01 14:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5510989011 | $1.0k |
| 08-01 14:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $3.6k |
| 07-31 14:16 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4331991169 | $348.29 |