PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x4Db156B8686ee1FFF64471c9e83f87673712e2Ab-1771421075829

0x4db156b8686ee1fff64471c9e83f87673712e2ab

Realised P&L
$2.5k
Volume
$67.2k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$4.5k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)93.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5360.545$3.3k+$53.95
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? · Yes0.6740.565$616.36$118.87
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2000.195$591.68$14.50
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1900.135$71.55$29.15
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026? · Yes0.8700.000$0.00$8.70
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day? · Down0.0760.000$0.00$745.27
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month? · Down0.4060.000$0.00$558.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 09:44Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.21$1.89
07-31 09:40Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.21$111.30
07-31 09:40Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.2$377.85
07-31 09:36Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.19$115.14
07-31 09:32Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?BUY0.75$6.00
07-31 09:31Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?SELL0.87$88.73
07-31 09:29Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?SELL0.88$262.25
07-29 20:46Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?BUY0.68$88.40
07-29 20:45Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?BUY0.67$20.10
07-29 16:08Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?BUY0.7$157.50
07-29 16:08Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?BUY0.68$20.40
07-29 16:08Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?BUY0.67$251.24
07-29 16:07Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?BUY0.6536672239$191.60
06-23 09:24Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.58$8.12
06-23 09:23Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.58$701.80