0x4dcADCD1502a3674fE05942BB533F121b8a35c55-1769945683740
0x4dcadcd1502a3674fe05942bb533f121b8a35c55
- Realised P&L
- $419.58
- Volume
- $40.7k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $425.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$499.97at 0.191Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
- +$117.39at 0.460Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score
- +$96.08at 0.510England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
- +$70.80at 0.358Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$70.21at 0.587Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 21:35 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.12 | $75.00 |
| 07-21 21:34 | Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.0169999997 | $50.00 |
| 07-21 21:32 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4019999991 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 18:30 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5874999985 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 18:30 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.55 | $100.00 |
| 07-14 21:20 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5399999991 | $70.00 |
| 07-14 21:18 | Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.24 | $30.00 |
| 07-14 21:11 | England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5099999985 | $100.00 |
| 07-14 20:30 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.9025 | $101.97 |
| 07-14 19:10 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4424999962 | $50.00 |
| 07-11 13:38 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.4599999983 | $100.00 |
| 07-10 19:23 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.018440052 | $46.10 |
| 07-05 22:25 | Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5 | $66.69 |
| 06-28 18:52 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0609999994 | $100.00 |
| 06-12 18:49 | Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.005 | $50.00 |