0x4dE718EA6D5aEaFf27b7207F3E7025D47E151982-1774023276043
0x4de718ea6d5aeaff27b7207f3e7025d47e151982
- Realised P&L
- $-10.3k
- Volume
- $1.62M
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $10.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes | 0.746 | 0.845 | $10.3k | +$1.2k |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.404 | 0.055 | $302.50 | −$1.9k |
| Will Ferran Torres score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$789.98 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.166 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.0k |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.111 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$32.2k |
| France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$130.00 |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$140.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.9kat 0.128Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.9kat 0.630Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance
- +$2.6kat 0.570Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$2.1kat 0.370Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
- +$1.9kat 0.520Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-25 19:31 | Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $200.00 |
| 05-19 08:34 | Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | SELL | 0.94 | $940.06 |
| 05-04 20:48 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04? | SELL | 0.0240461333 | $36.07 |
| 05-04 20:47 | Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) | SELL | 0.001 | $3.00 |
| 04-14 15:50 | Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) | BUY | 0.34 | $326.54 |
| 04-10 19:33 | Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-10? | BUY | 0.45 | $217.58 |
| 04-10 19:32 | Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-10? | BUY | 0.4785087751 | $484.36 |
| 03-20 17:11 | Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings? | BUY | 0.38 | $126.54 |
| 03-20 17:10 | Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings? | BUY | 0.379 | $10.01 |