PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xe2B61e4B0354e76eDe972EBe069Ea542CDe08a81-1774129465983

0x4e114257b475c97f37567f81295578b5c38daac4

Realised P&L
$4.07
Volume
$1.7k
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$28.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)89.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yes0.2700.195$10.83$4.17
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? · Yes0.2970.255$8.58$1.42
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0080.034$4.25+$3.25
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0370.009$1.20$3.80
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0330.033$0.97$0.03
Iran coup attempt by December 31? · Yes0.1550.110$0.71$0.29
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0080.005$0.69$0.31
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? · Yes0.2200.024$0.53$4.47
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? · Yes0.1400.015$0.52$4.48
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30? · No0.8700.000$0.00$20.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1610.000$0.00$5.00
Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30? · Yes0.0790.000$0.00$10.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$10.00
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$10.00
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-12 16:01Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?BUY0.7899999739$20.00
07-12 16:01Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?SELL0.21$20.00
07-07 20:44Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.389999986$10.00
07-02 12:58Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.2249999662$4.00
07-02 12:57Will France win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.8399999966$10.00
07-02 12:57Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.5674999952$5.00
07-02 12:54Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?BUY0.297029688$10.00
07-02 12:52Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?BUY0.2699999681$5.00
07-02 12:51Iran coup attempt by December 31?BUY0.1551702708$1.00
07-02 12:49Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?BUY0.75$10.00
06-24 13:07Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.75$10.00
06-24 11:53Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?BUY0.2699999806$10.00
06-24 11:50US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?BUY0.2199999727$5.00
06-24 11:50US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?BUY0.1399999787$5.00
06-24 11:50US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.05$10.00