0xe2B61e4B0354e76eDe972EBe069Ea542CDe08a81-1774129465983
0x4e114257b475c97f37567f81295578b5c38daac4
- Realised P&L
- $4.07
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $28.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)89.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.79at 0.218Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 7?
- +$27.93at 0.349Will Ethereum reach $1,600 on June 6?
- +$10.14at 0.080US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$9.55at 0.910Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?
- +$7.71at 0.280Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-12 16:01 | Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | BUY | 0.7899999739 | $20.00 |
| 07-12 16:01 | Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | SELL | 0.21 | $20.00 |
| 07-07 20:44 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.389999986 | $10.00 |
| 07-02 12:58 | Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.2249999662 | $4.00 |
| 07-02 12:57 | Will France win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.8399999966 | $10.00 |
| 07-02 12:57 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.5674999952 | $5.00 |
| 07-02 12:54 | Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? | BUY | 0.297029688 | $10.00 |
| 07-02 12:52 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |
| 07-02 12:51 | Iran coup attempt by December 31? | BUY | 0.1551702708 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 12:49 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15? | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |
| 06-24 13:07 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |
| 06-24 11:53 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |
| 06-24 11:50 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |
| 06-24 11:50 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999787 | $5.00 |
| 06-24 11:50 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $10.00 |