Crypto-Well
0x4e39fdfc230f9312d93db03ab48c10fccf2d8cbf
- Realised P&L
- $4.5k
- Volume
- $16.86M
- Markets traded
- 1,570
- Open portfolio
- $440.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,570
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$182.16at 0.001Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
- +$164.87at 0.001Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?
- +$159.43at 0.001Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
- +$142.94at 0.002Trump out as President by May 31?
- +$127.18at 0.001Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 15:24 | Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.21 |
| 08-02 15:24 | Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.90 |
| 08-02 15:21 | Will Suzanne Krzyzanowski be the VA-05 Democratic nominee? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.20 |
| 08-01 12:20 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.33 |
| 07-31 23:09 | Will Solana reach $90 in July? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.64 |
| 07-31 23:08 | Will Solana reach $90 in July? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.64 |
| 07-31 14:05 | Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.10 |
| 07-31 14:02 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.18 |
| 07-31 12:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.50 |
| 07-31 12:02 | Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.21 |
| 07-31 06:59 | Iran leadership change by July 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.13 |
| 07-31 06:58 | Iran leadership change by July 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.73 |
| 07-31 00:35 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July? | SELL | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 00:35 | Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.01 |
| 07-30 15:54 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.49 |