StillShark
0x4ed3de900a1829d796ff2c2f8de5620139bd343c
- Realised P&L
- $-6.2k
- Volume
- $92.7k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $419.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.192 | $384.00 | +$224.00 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes | 0.101 | 0.032 | $31.50 | −$69.10 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.030 | $12.20 | −$31.80 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$222.00 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.193 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals · San Diego Padres | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$490.00 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$62.69 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9AM ET · Down | 0.324 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.550US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$518.99at 0.190Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
- +$346.40at 0.365Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
- +$297.60at 0.750Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$204.29at 0.560St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-16 17:38 | San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals | BUY | 0.49 | $490.00 |
| 06-12 20:03 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins | BUY | 0.5599999994 | $260.00 |
| 06-11 12:18 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.1928617656 | $200.00 |
| 06-07 23:16 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | SELL | 0.9961429118 | $546.40 |
| 05-25 12:22 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | BUY | 0.3646166853 | $200.00 |
| 05-22 20:46 | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | SELL | 0.37 | $189.74 |
| 05-21 10:50 | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | BUY | 0.1699999986 | $100.00 |
| 05-18 21:17 | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY | 0.3899999994 | $200.00 |
| 05-15 20:28 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? | BUY | 0.1 | $81.76 |
| 05-11 13:26 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $222.00 |
| 05-01 13:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9AM ET | BUY | 0.3266666667 | $24.50 |
| 05-01 13:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $16.14 |
| 04-29 21:26 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? | SELL | 0.5844341759 | $768.99 |
| 04-29 14:03 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? | BUY | 0.1899999995 | $250.00 |
| 04-29 14:00 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.994 | $278.32 |