0x4f2
0x4f29e103339919c4baaea2a60195cf1c8bb27a7e
- Realised P&L
- $-62.3k
- Volume
- $248.72M
- Markets traded
- 7,560
- Open portfolio
- $111.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,560
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs · Chicago Cubs | 0.619 | 1.000 | $31.9k | +$12.1k |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · Boston Red Sox | 0.400 | 0.495 | $15.4k | +$2.9k |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves · San Francisco Giants | 0.430 | 0.455 | $11.9k | +$653.20 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees · Boston Red Sox | 0.490 | 0.515 | $5.3k | +$255.10 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves · Atlanta Braves | 0.560 | 0.545 | $4.5k | −$124.25 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians · Detroit Tigers | 0.490 | 0.610 | $4.5k | +$879.36 |
| FC Rapid 1923 vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.500 | 1.000 | $2.5k | +$1.3k |
| FC Rapid 1923 vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.210 | 1.000 | $2.4k | +$1.9k |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians · Cleveland Guardians | 0.490 | 0.390 | $2.2k | −$553.69 |
| FC Rapid 1923 vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.369 | 0.996 | $2.1k | +$1.3k |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox · Atlanta Braves | 0.500 | 0.510 | $2.1k | +$40.41 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.590 | 0.505 | $2.0k | −$332.28 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 · Under | 0.709 | 1.000 | $1.8k | +$527.07 |
| FC Corvinul 1921 Hunedoara vs. Sepsi OSK: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.580 | 0.996 | $1.8k | +$730.44 |
| Will Washington Spirit win on 2026-08-02? · No | 0.577 | 1.000 | $1.6k | +$680.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$218.5kat 0.301Will England win on 2026-06-23?
- +$174.4kat 0.426Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?
- +$147.8kat 0.265Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$127.5kat 0.481Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?
- +$125.3kat 0.516Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:04 | Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.6572835758 | $62.79 |
| 08-02 22:03 | Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5) | BUY | 0.82 | $32.80 |
| 08-02 21:58 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres | SELL | 0.1489594182 | $226.55 |
| 08-02 21:57 | Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) | BUY | 0.61 | $23.18 |
| 08-02 21:46 | Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.288 | $7.20 |
| 08-02 21:46 | Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) | SELL | 0.13 | $4.03 |
| 08-02 21:46 | Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5) | BUY | 0.76 | $7.60 |
| 08-02 21:46 | Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) | BUY | 0.87 | $8.70 |
| 08-02 21:38 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.3 | $0.82 |
| 08-02 21:37 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.75 | $30.00 |
| 08-02 21:37 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres | SELL | 0.7400245098 | $1.5k |
| 08-02 21:37 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5 | SELL | 0.2292307692 | $5.96 |
| 08-02 21:37 | Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5) | BUY | 0.67 | $3.35 |
| 08-02 21:37 | Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) | SELL | 0.54 | $12.56 |
| 08-02 21:37 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |