0x4F55A89498a2Fc1BF88b1f62131816A8A65d4731-1771534286272
0x4f55a89498a2fc1bf88b1f62131816a8a65d4731
- Realised P&L
- $42.10
- Volume
- $14.5k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $148.13
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration91.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$906.56at 0.180US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$63.10at 0.084Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$22.22at 0.360Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$-26.31at 0.171Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?
- +$-28.89at 0.139Will Indonesia recognize Israel by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-21 18:49 | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | BUY | 0.1920417883 | $10.00 |
| 05-17 17:33 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0349999935 | $5.00 |
| 05-17 17:33 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0229999954 | $5.00 |
| 05-17 17:32 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1149999952 | $20.00 |
| 05-17 17:30 | Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup? | BUY | 0.0506162529 | $10.00 |
| 05-17 17:21 | Will Gwendolyn Beck be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026? | BUY | 0.2118794192 | $10.00 |
| 05-17 17:03 | Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30? | BUY | 0.0737763242 | $20.00 |
| 05-17 17:00 | Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2330096945 | $10.00 |
| 05-17 16:54 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 05-17 16:50 | Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in May? | BUY | 0.0719999938 | $10.00 |
| 05-17 16:49 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0311647838 | $5.00 |
| 05-17 16:48 | Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0083348768 | $5.00 |
| 05-17 16:47 | Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0390285021 | $10.00 |
| 05-17 16:46 | Tucker Carlson federally charged? | BUY | 0.0179999965 | $5.00 |
| 05-17 16:43 | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.0420000002 | $10.00 |