serliangatpm
0x4fdbdcf0ee06bc9ce6c8c972c4af8884202069fa
- Realised P&L
- $-748.34
- Volume
- $10.4k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $386.77
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.103 | 0.033 | $300.06 | −$635.08 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.065 | $86.71 | −$113.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.13at 0.270Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-03 17:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $422.79 |
| 06-03 04:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $145.00 |
| 05-13 04:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $31.68 |
| 03-16 13:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1596806387 | $250.00 |
| 02-07 03:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET | SELL | 0.6 | $1.48 |
| 02-07 03:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.27 | $1.32 |