PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

planktonXD

0x4ffe49ba2a4cae123536a8af4fda48faeb609f71

Realised P&L
$123.4k
Volume
$224.61M
Markets traded
95,474
Open portfolio
$12.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded95,474
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration9.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.0020.065$167.02+$161.74
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.0020.058$120.89+$116.67
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 TOUR Championship? · Yes0.0300.058$48.48+$23.19
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0080.016$44.61+$23.00
Will the Tampa Bay Rays hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season? · Yes0.0010.040$44.44+$43.33
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by December 31? · No0.1700.315$44.10+$20.30
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.0220.040$43.13+$19.16
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No0.0210.025$43.12+$6.69
Will Warren Buffett be 2nd richest person on December 31? · Yes0.0030.232$42.83+$42.28
Will "DTF St. Louis" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? · Yes0.0110.052$40.63+$32.03
Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.0040.035$40.22+$35.47
Will Jim Chalmers be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? · Yes0.0110.169$37.80+$35.34
Will Paddy Pimblett be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0020.042$37.03+$35.27
Will Nebojša Vukanović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? · Yes0.0260.075$36.09+$23.66
Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 9M ETH before 2027? · Yes0.0570.090$31.49+$11.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 23:34Will J.J. McCarthy be the Vikings' Week 1 starting QB?BUY0.11$0.55
08-02 23:17Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in August 2026?BUY0.16$1.60
08-02 22:30Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 4?BUY0.04$0.20
08-02 22:05Will the Minnesota Twins clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?SELL0.27$11.07
08-02 21:57Will Trump praise Allah again by August 31?BUY0.16$0.80
08-02 21:50Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.002$0.23
08-02 21:40Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?SELL0.341$11.94
08-02 21:14Will "DTF St. Louis" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?SELL0.0524720497$8.45
08-02 20:35Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.002$0.91
08-02 20:34Will the Bayeux Tapestry be back in France by December 31, 2027?SELL0.13$6.50
08-02 20:34Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?SELL0.33$2.59
08-02 20:34Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.28$5.60
08-02 20:25Will Bradley Barcola stay at Paris Saint-Germain?SELL0.35$7.00
08-02 20:21Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027?BUY0.002$0.98
08-02 20:21Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?BUY0.39$0.78