PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x507b51630295906bC404c52Ef0456A7BDbEC0742-1769736987265

0x507b51630295906bc404c52ef0456a7bdbec0742

Realised P&L
$-5.1k
Volume
$213.8k
Markets traded
490
Open portfolio
$2.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded490
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 05:37Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?BUY0.7363901355$162.44
07-31 00:09Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?SELL0.232$3.83
07-30 23:41Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?SELL0.283$6.65
07-30 18:29Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.889$9.09
07-30 18:21Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9258515842$93.51
07-30 18:16Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?SELL0.74$74.00
07-29 23:47Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?BUY0.5876493993$70.00
07-29 16:11Iran full airspace closure by July 31?BUY0.9122870212$31.91
07-29 04:35Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?SELL0.995$89.30
07-29 04:09Iran full airspace closure by July 31?BUY0.948615148$24.67
07-28 08:00Will Bill Keating be the MA-09 Democratic nominee?BUY0.9106620634$22.42
07-28 07:56Will Richard Neal be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?BUY0.8633973097$52.63
07-28 07:55Will Russia target Kyiv by August 31, 2026?BUY0.89$17.80
07-28 07:53Will Jake Auchincloss be the MA-04 Democratic nominee?BUY0.93$13.28
07-28 07:52Will Jake Auchincloss be the MA-04 Democratic nominee?BUY0.92$49.06