miguelon78
0x50b63f8eaf97ed70a79328c1407a577dcd76469b
- Realised P&L
- $79.22
- Volume
- $192.5k
- Markets traded
- 280
- Open portfolio
- $31.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded280
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$484.33at 0.256Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15?
- +$215.75at 0.107Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on July 27?
- +$188.95at 0.202Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13?
- +$183.12at 0.082Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 25?
- +$155.83at 0.394Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4? | SELL | 0.38 | $27.59 |
| 08-02 00:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.2299999915 | $16.70 |
| 08-02 00:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.0319808754 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 14:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.3099999913 | $18.53 |
| 08-01 14:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 14:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.2710474982 | $6.50 |
| 08-01 14:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.29999997 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 14:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.3099999622 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 14:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.21 | $2.51 |
| 08-01 13:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 13:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | BUY | 0.4399999296 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 13:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | BUY | 0.4688465912 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 13:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | SELL | 0.3380515298 | $14.70 |
| 08-01 13:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.2299999869 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 13:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET | BUY | 0.1138448669 | $10.00 |