PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

miguelon78

0x50b63f8eaf97ed70a79328c1407a577dcd76469b

Realised P&L
$79.22
Volume
$192.5k
Markets traded
280
Open portfolio
$31.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded280
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4? · Yes0.2900.255$22.02$3.02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 4? · Yes0.0320.030$9.38$0.62
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET · Down0.3330.000$0.00$30.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET · Up0.1300.000$0.00$5.00
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$2.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.2540.000$0.00$10.00
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$8.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? · No0.1050.000$0.00$42.00
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$5.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 3? · No0.0480.000$0.00$20.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 24? · Yes0.1290.000$0.00$20.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8? · No0.1170.000$0.00$30.00
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$5.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET · Up0.1030.000$0.00$11.67

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 21:36Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4?SELL0.38$27.59
08-02 00:35Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4?BUY0.2299999915$16.70
08-02 00:34Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 4?BUY0.0319808754$10.00
08-01 14:56Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETBUY0.3099999913$18.53
08-01 14:51Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETBUY0.179999987$10.00
08-01 14:43Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETBUY0.2710474982$6.50
08-01 14:42Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETBUY0.29999997$5.00
08-01 14:41Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETBUY0.3099999622$5.00
08-01 14:41Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETBUY0.21$2.51
08-01 13:24Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETBUY0.5599999776$5.00
08-01 13:24Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETBUY0.4399999296$2.00
08-01 13:23Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETBUY0.4688465912$5.00
08-01 13:11Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETSELL0.3380515298$14.70
08-01 13:10Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETBUY0.2299999869$10.00
08-01 13:09Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETBUY0.1138448669$10.00