PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

pelasti

0x50d3833a3eebc6c8f5ee9af80a6ad3162c1cbad4

Realised P&L
$-3.0k
Volume
$456.4k
Markets traded
650
Open portfolio
$141.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded650
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 12:02Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.965$48.25
07-13 12:23Will the median home value in NYC be between $609,000 and $636,000 on September 30?SELL0.247$2.96
07-08 20:49Iran full airspace closure by July 15?BUY0.21478925$42.96
07-06 16:27Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?SELL0.412$43.69
07-04 00:40Will Joey Chestnut Eat 78 or More Hot Dogs at Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest 2026(men's)SELL0.951$19.02
07-03 23:37Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?SELL0.75$6.91
07-03 15:42Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?SELL0.167$3.34
07-01 22:08Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.067$7.57
07-01 00:07Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?SELL0.516$103.34
06-30 23:55Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?SELL0.531$5.08
06-20 23:10Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 21?SELL0.55$16.59
06-18 21:56Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 19?SELL0.68$10.62
06-18 16:34Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 19?SELL0.61$12.20
06-16 10:35US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?SELL0.92$18.40
06-15 23:06WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 16?SELL0.53$91.16