pelasti
0x50d3833a3eebc6c8f5ee9af80a6ad3162c1cbad4
- Realised P&L
- $-3.0k
- Volume
- $456.4k
- Markets traded
- 650
- Open portfolio
- $141.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded650
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$905.14at 0.490Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 243.5
- +$609.07at 0.380Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?
- +$588.00at 0.410Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
- +$104.00at 0.560WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?
- +$85.31at 0.180US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 12:02 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.965 | $48.25 |
| 07-13 12:23 | Will the median home value in NYC be between $609,000 and $636,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.247 | $2.96 |
| 07-08 20:49 | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | BUY | 0.21478925 | $42.96 |
| 07-06 16:27 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.412 | $43.69 |
| 07-04 00:40 | Will Joey Chestnut Eat 78 or More Hot Dogs at Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest 2026(men's) | SELL | 0.951 | $19.02 |
| 07-03 23:37 | Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $6.91 |
| 07-03 15:42 | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.167 | $3.34 |
| 07-01 22:08 | Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.067 | $7.57 |
| 07-01 00:07 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.516 | $103.34 |
| 06-30 23:55 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.531 | $5.08 |
| 06-20 23:10 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 21? | SELL | 0.55 | $16.59 |
| 06-18 21:56 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 19? | SELL | 0.68 | $10.62 |
| 06-18 16:34 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 19? | SELL | 0.61 | $12.20 |
| 06-16 10:35 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $18.40 |
| 06-15 23:06 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 16? | SELL | 0.53 | $91.16 |