PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Bigggggggg

0x511f9c771449162349795d17becf8b37031acbe1

Realised P&L
$427.7k
Volume
$24.23M
Markets traded
8,060
Open portfolio
$3.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded8,060
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration46.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0420.295$358.04+$307.47
Will "Pluribus" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? · Yes0.1670.580$265.64+$189.31
Will Haley Stevens win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? · Yes0.1670.240$247.92+$75.75
Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee? · Yes0.1250.390$153.45+$104.27
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · Yes0.1670.486$145.46+$95.63
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.805$144.59+$138.98
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0420.115$139.57+$89.00
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0420.115$139.57+$89.00
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0420.095$115.30+$64.73
Will Slaven Kovačević be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? · Yes0.0330.395$114.48+$104.82
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? · Yes0.0560.310$105.92+$86.94
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes0.0340.335$76.64+$68.75
Will "Pluribus" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? · Yes0.1670.155$70.99$5.34
Will Club Almagro vs. CA Ferrocarril Midland end in a draw? · Yes0.3330.920$63.89+$40.76
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2? · Yes0.2000.334$59.84+$24.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 23:16Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next?SELL0.178$3.16
08-02 23:16Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next?SELL0.178$5.42
08-02 22:46Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?SELL0.029$0.71
08-02 22:34Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa end in a draw?BUY0.8167960424$6.7k
08-02 22:34Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-02?BUY0.3475330514$2.9k
08-02 22:04Will Haley Stevens win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?BUY0.7815561911$629.93
08-02 21:57Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?SELL0.043$0.22
08-02 21:56Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?SELL0.043$0.22
08-02 21:56Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?SELL0.043$0.22
08-02 21:47Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?SELL0.27$3.45
08-02 21:44Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?SELL0.01$0.77
08-02 21:37Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.04$0.67
08-02 21:34Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?SELL0.02$0.51
08-02 19:45Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?SELL0.007$0.48
08-02 18:54Will Nigel Farage win 40–50% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BUY0.979$73.42