Bigggggggg
0x511f9c771449162349795d17becf8b37031acbe1
- Realised P&L
- $427.7k
- Volume
- $24.23M
- Markets traded
- 8,060
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded8,060
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration46.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$90.5kat 0.234Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$46.8kat 0.710Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
- +$35.5kat 0.538Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
- +$33.9kat 0.850Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
- +$28.6kat 0.112Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 23:16 | Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next? | SELL | 0.178 | $3.16 |
| 08-02 23:16 | Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next? | SELL | 0.178 | $5.42 |
| 08-02 22:46 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.029 | $0.71 |
| 08-02 22:34 | Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8167960424 | $6.7k |
| 08-02 22:34 | Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.3475330514 | $2.9k |
| 08-02 22:04 | Will Haley Stevens win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | BUY | 0.7815561911 | $629.93 |
| 08-02 21:57 | Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | SELL | 0.043 | $0.22 |
| 08-02 21:56 | Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | SELL | 0.043 | $0.22 |
| 08-02 21:56 | Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | SELL | 0.043 | $0.22 |
| 08-02 21:47 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $3.45 |
| 08-02 21:44 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.77 |
| 08-02 21:37 | Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.67 |
| 08-02 21:34 | Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.51 |
| 08-02 19:45 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.48 |
| 08-02 18:54 | Will Nigel Farage win 40–50% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.979 | $73.42 |