s1kke
0x5141fa5e7a9b1b08fc4dd8a5d6c81259980e7346
- Realised P&L
- $34.46
- Volume
- $30.5k
- Markets traded
- 631
- Open portfolio
- $173.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded631
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.05at 0.299Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays
- +$22.05at 0.344Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
- +$18.61at 0.446Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
- +$18.61at 0.446Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
- +$18.61at 0.446Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-05 08:30 | Will Suzzanna V. Tanner advance to the general election for WA-03? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.55 |
| 07-05 08:30 | Will the Democratic Party win the CA-52 House seat? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.82 |
| 07-05 08:30 | Probable FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.1 | $6.25 |
| 05-30 13:53 | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesana | SELL | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 05-28 19:52 | Counter-Strike: WW Team vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs | BUY | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 05-28 19:50 | Counter-Strike: WW Team vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs | BUY | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 05-23 18:58 | Will Trump say "Nuke" in May? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.18 |
| 05-23 18:58 | Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between -0.4% and 0.0%? | SELL | 0.0258669382 | $1.52 |
| 05-23 18:58 | Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027? | SELL | 0.045 | $0.47 |
| 05-23 18:58 | Will Hong Kong have 240mm or more of precipitation in May? | SELL | 0.31 | $0.18 |
| 05-22 22:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | BUY | 0.7399999674 | $5.00 |
| 05-22 22:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.07 | $4.20 |
| 05-22 22:26 | Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $185B by June 30? | SELL | 0.38 | $4.64 |
| 05-22 22:15 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.58 |
| 05-22 22:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.58 |