NoDoubtD
0x5170b3e9562df36410ca63e861fb26da4b806c45
- Realised P&L
- $-198.75
- Volume
- $11.1k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$79.62at 0.353Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
- +$66.96at 0.970Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
- +$59.70at 0.975Macron out by June 30, 2026?
- +$18.50at 0.815Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
- +$10.22at 0.774Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 13:16 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.00 |
| 07-07 10:26 | Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.3391544375 | $48.53 |
| 07-07 10:16 | Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.7132989691 | $69.19 |
| 07-01 17:11 | Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.7298687739 | $380.99 |
| 06-14 19:44 | Macron out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.993 | $665.30 |
| 06-03 09:56 | Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.77 | $120.74 |
| 06-03 09:56 | Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.75 | $53.95 |
| 06-03 09:47 | Will another person advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.87 | $8.70 |
| 06-03 09:47 | Will another person advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.85 | $17.00 |
| 06-03 09:46 | Will another person advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.84 | $9.75 |
| 06-01 19:59 | Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.68 | $81.60 |
| 06-01 19:58 | Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.66 | $13.20 |
| 05-26 08:06 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 05-24 21:32 | Macron out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.985 | $7.83 |
| 05-21 13:03 | Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.59 | $11.80 |