PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

NoDoubtD

0x5170b3e9562df36410ca63e861fb26da4b806c45

Realised P&L
$-198.75
Volume
$11.1k
Markets traded
55
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded55
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample39 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will François Bayrou be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8800.941$200.91+$13.02
Will Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9300.970$193.46+$7.98
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.8500.958$190.45+$21.47
Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.7410.938$182.46+$38.24
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.5680.635$180.92+$19.23
Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.7210.895$130.27+$25.34
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1880.255$120.56+$31.82
Will Jean-Michel Fauvergue be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8580.945$112.76+$10.34
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.6770.745$104.30+$9.50
Will Mathilde Panot be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8440.970$96.34+$12.47
Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8100.969$96.11+$15.73
Will Philippe de Villiers be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8900.925$92.09+$3.48
Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes0.3390.400$57.24+$8.71
Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes0.7270.080$49.52$400.66
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.8300.955$47.75+$6.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 13:16Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.019$1.00
07-07 10:26Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.3391544375$48.53
07-07 10:16Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.7132989691$69.19
07-01 17:11Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.7298687739$380.99
06-14 19:44Macron out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.993$665.30
06-03 09:56Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.77$120.74
06-03 09:56Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.75$53.95
06-03 09:47Will another person advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.87$8.70
06-03 09:47Will another person advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.85$17.00
06-03 09:46Will another person advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.84$9.75
06-01 19:59Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.68$81.60
06-01 19:58Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.66$13.20
05-26 08:06Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.15$15.00
05-24 21:32Macron out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.985$7.83
05-21 13:03Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.59$11.80