0x518c8B5f6b0B67f493D85BcDE15327D4166cd66
0x518c8b5f6b0b67f493d85bcde15327d4166cd366
- Realised P&L
- $-14.03
- Volume
- $11.5k
- Markets traded
- 127
- Open portfolio
- $508.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded127
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.98at 0.670Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on August 1?
- +$19.43at 0.285Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 2?
- +$6.46at 0.020Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 31?
- +$5.99at 0.348Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 29?
- +$5.72at 0.656Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 02:26 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.5588940421 | $15.67 |
| 08-03 02:24 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.8267994327 | $50.40 |
| 08-03 02:23 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.48 | $0.53 |
| 08-03 02:19 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.57 | $0.20 |
| 08-03 01:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.44 | $3.30 |
| 08-03 01:56 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.9527710248 | $6.59 |
| 08-03 01:51 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.6099999566 | $4.22 |
| 08-03 01:30 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.5428831191 | $47.76 |
| 08-03 01:25 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.1178195694 | $4.32 |
| 08-03 01:22 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.0866666667 | $3.17 |
| 08-03 00:57 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.5099999749 | $2.44 |
| 08-03 00:54 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.1933921303 | $2.85 |
| 08-03 00:52 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.3770078625 | $12.60 |
| 08-03 00:40 | Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.4391882122 | $12.66 |
| 08-03 00:39 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.3367924037 | $12.95 |