PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

PCMTest

0x51b11a18e75d0f4c3f8e8e360f89eb911d727865

Realised P&L
$8.6k
Volume
$1.28M
Markets traded
464
Open portfolio
$12.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded464
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? · No0.1720.225$1.6k+$375.69
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? · No0.5440.685$1.0k+$208.70
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · No0.7050.880$777.23+$154.38
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · No0.2570.095$640.88$1.1k
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.5460.555$610.50+$9.63
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? · Yes0.8010.606$546.16$176.17
Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? · No0.6400.947$425.93+$137.93
Rippling IPO before 2027? · No0.6100.885$370.31+$115.07
Databricks IPO before 2027? · No0.5430.910$362.18+$145.85
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? · No0.8030.875$352.83+$29.33
1st 5 Innings Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) · Chicago White Sox0.6170.650$345.15+$17.77
Anduril IPO before 2027? · No0.6540.935$314.91+$94.55
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.2460.952$311.30+$230.91
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? · No0.6430.790$305.73+$56.85
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.4830.395$220.81$49.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 18:25Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-08-02?BUY0.13999993$1.60
08-02 00:14Will Drake perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?BUY0.57$14.25
08-02 00:00Will Atlante FC win on 2026-08-01?BUY0.1$1.00
08-01 14:11Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?SELL0.007$8.71
08-01 14:09Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?SELL0.006$12.00
08-01 13:29Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?BUY0.002$17.78
08-01 13:26Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?BUY0.001$5.54
07-31 20:09Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-07-25?BUY0.39$1.95
07-31 19:47Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool?BUY0.5742727273$31.59
07-31 16:09Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool?BUY0.515$135.96
07-31 00:39Will Bradley Barcola stay at Paris Saint-Germain?BUY0.69$24.84
07-31 00:38Will Bradley Barcola stay at Paris Saint-Germain?BUY0.69$31.05
07-30 13:27Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?SELL0.3238939394$160.33
07-30 13:05Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?SELL0.35$5.95
07-30 13:03Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?SELL0.35$26.60