PCMTest
0x51b11a18e75d0f4c3f8e8e360f89eb911d727865
- Realised P&L
- $8.6k
- Volume
- $1.28M
- Markets traded
- 464
- Open portfolio
- $12.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded464
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.2kat 0.486Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
- +$1.7kat 0.271Will all of Trump's children attend the State of the Union?
- +$1.0kat 0.597Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$830.55at 0.529Will Kanye release BULLY by March 20?
- +$826.83at 0.448Will May 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 18:25 | Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.13999993 | $1.60 |
| 08-02 00:14 | Will Drake perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? | BUY | 0.57 | $14.25 |
| 08-02 00:00 | Will Atlante FC win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 14:11 | Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? | SELL | 0.007 | $8.71 |
| 08-01 14:09 | Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? | SELL | 0.006 | $12.00 |
| 08-01 13:29 | Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? | BUY | 0.002 | $17.78 |
| 08-01 13:26 | Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.54 |
| 07-31 20:09 | Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-07-25? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 07-31 19:47 | Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool? | BUY | 0.5742727273 | $31.59 |
| 07-31 16:09 | Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool? | BUY | 0.515 | $135.96 |
| 07-31 00:39 | Will Bradley Barcola stay at Paris Saint-Germain? | BUY | 0.69 | $24.84 |
| 07-31 00:38 | Will Bradley Barcola stay at Paris Saint-Germain? | BUY | 0.69 | $31.05 |
| 07-30 13:27 | Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? | SELL | 0.3238939394 | $160.33 |
| 07-30 13:05 | Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? | SELL | 0.35 | $5.95 |
| 07-30 13:03 | Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? | SELL | 0.35 | $26.60 |