SerSer
0x52337953d3881a0033934fc91d736e479179011c
- Realised P&L
- $-427.06
- Volume
- $20.3k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $342.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.421 | 0.048 | $342.80 | −$2.7k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.500Bitcoin all time high before 2026?
- +$-162.03at 0.475Will Biden finish his term?
- +$-400.00at 0.360Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-27 13:16 | Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $640.76 |
| 12-26 11:07 | Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $86.00 |
| 12-26 11:07 | Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $113.68 |
| 12-25 20:11 | Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $460.00 |
| 12-25 10:42 | Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4324215714 | $605.39 |
| 12-25 00:31 | Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $9.20 |
| 05-21 18:58 | Bitcoin all time high before 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.6k |
| 04-13 02:06 | Bitcoin all time high before 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $136.63 |
| 04-13 01:57 | Bitcoin all time high before 2026? | BUY | 0.4988456 | $748.27 |
| 11-19 20:58 | Will Biden finish his term? | SELL | 0.09 | $37.91 |
| 07-23 07:37 | Will Biden finish his term? | BUY | 0.4795203348 | $99.97 |
| 07-23 07:19 | Will Biden finish his term? | BUY | 0.469999999 | $99.97 |
| 07-22 14:05 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.3599999995 | $400.00 |