HomeRunHazard
0x5268527977f700f9bf9b6d5cd843859e4e70135d
- Realised P&L
- $1.62M
- Volume
- $200.02M
- Markets traded
- 20,371
- Open portfolio
- $389.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded20,371
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs · Chicago Cubs | 0.613 | 1.000 | $109.0k | +$42.2k |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.757 | 1.000 | $26.8k | +$6.5k |
| Los Angeles Sparks vs. PortlandFire · Los Angeles Sparks | 0.329 | 1.000 | $18.0k | +$12.1k |
| Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges · Nuno Borges | 0.596 | 0.745 | $14.5k | +$2.9k |
| San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres · San Diego Padres | 0.669 | 1.000 | $14.5k | +$4.8k |
| San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 10.5 · Under | 0.372 | 1.000 | $13.5k | +$8.5k |
| Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-7.5) · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.654 | 0.990 | $11.4k | +$3.9k |
| National Bank Open: Lois Boisson vs Antonia Ruzic · Lois Boisson | 0.649 | 0.720 | $9.8k | +$968.60 |
| Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) · Detroit Tigers | 0.410 | 1.000 | $9.3k | +$5.5k |
| San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5 · Under | 0.482 | 1.000 | $8.7k | +$4.5k |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 · Over | 0.525 | 0.670 | $8.7k | +$1.9k |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala · Jessica Pegula | 0.818 | 0.815 | $8.7k | −$28.38 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.607 | 0.595 | $8.7k | −$169.35 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox · Atlanta Braves | 0.510 | 0.510 | $8.3k | +$0.00 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5 · Under | 0.600 | 0.625 | $7.3k | +$290.58 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$102.9kat 0.589Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic
- +$81.2kat 0.528Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds
- +$81.0kat 0.339San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 12.5
- +$67.9kat 0.495Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Tamara Zidansek
- +$65.4kat 0.359Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 23:21 | Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5) | BUY | 0.65 | $204.30 |
| 08-02 23:16 | Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 171.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $29.00 |
| 08-02 23:16 | Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 172.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $34.28 |
| 08-02 23:16 | Spread: Dallas Wings (-10.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $497.60 |
| 08-02 23:16 | Spread: Dallas Wings (-11.5) | BUY | 0.53 | $1.2k |
| 08-02 23:16 | Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 173.5 | BUY | 0.5075 | $203.00 |
| 08-02 23:12 | Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 173.5 | BUY | 0.43 | $53.09 |
| 08-02 23:08 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.06 | $320.04 |
| 08-02 23:08 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.05 | $102.82 |
| 08-02 23:06 | Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas Wings | BUY | 0.79 | $2.3k |
| 08-02 23:05 | Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas Wings | BUY | 0.1977208523 | $33.04 |
| 08-02 23:05 | Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 173.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $56.94 |
| 08-02 23:04 | Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 173.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $1.2k |
| 08-02 23:03 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.8325 | $13.32 |
| 08-02 23:01 | Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.7713333333 | $104.13 |