adasol
0x5297f1e1d0f0584537af763652a0a5f874037b99
- Realised P&L
- $8.0k
- Volume
- $42.89M
- Markets traded
- 300
- Open portfolio
- $5.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded300
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.001Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$1.4kat 0.002Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
- +$1.1kat 0.007Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$1.1kat 0.996Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.001Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 07:56 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $16.04 |
| 08-03 07:56 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $82.00 |
| 08-03 07:44 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.284867362 | $90.73 |
| 08-03 07:44 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2773661587 | $100.00 |
| 08-03 07:43 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $212.74 |
| 08-03 07:43 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999985 | $150.00 |
| 08-03 07:39 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $150.00 |
| 08-03 07:34 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999984 | $120.00 |
| 08-03 07:33 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $6.11 |
| 08-03 07:31 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999997 | $200.00 |
| 08-03 07:27 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4290306501 | $22.13 |
| 08-03 07:26 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $76.06 |
| 08-03 07:26 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2754679692 | $65.98 |
| 08-03 07:25 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2802817399 | $64.56 |
| 08-03 07:25 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $94.54 |