CRYPTOBAGEL
0x531b910fb9666d7c8830b16ef52dbc2e62ca2c77
- Realised P&L
- $-606.08
- Volume
- $16.8k
- Markets traded
- 346
- Open portfolio
- $182.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded346
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$116.25at 0.870No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
- +$92.71at 0.915Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
- +$50.76at 0.330Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in April?
- +$45.02at 0.628Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$42.63at 0.190Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-16 10:06 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.7199999986 | $100.00 |
| 06-16 09:44 | World Cup: Any Team to Score 10+ Goals in the Group Stage? | BUY | 0.8599999997 | $100.00 |
| 06-11 03:58 | World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? | SELL | 0.955 | $95.49 |
| 05-22 08:47 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.0378611757 | $30.00 |
| 04-27 11:49 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | BUY | 0.9719999941 | $100.00 |
| 03-26 15:31 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on March 26? | BUY | 0.3699999771 | $10.00 |
| 03-26 15:31 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 26? | BUY | 0.4776119403 | $10.00 |
| 03-25 11:39 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $100.00 |
| 02-02 03:55 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.017 | $10.00 |
| 01-19 05:53 | Will Powell say "Sorry" during January press conference? | BUY | 0.8199999934 | $20.00 |
| 01-19 05:52 | Will Powell say "Median" during January press conference? | BUY | 0.4499999921 | $20.00 |
| 01-19 05:52 | Will Powell say "Percent" 25+ times during January press conference? | BUY | 0.6899999952 | $20.00 |
| 01-19 05:52 | Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during January press conference? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $20.00 |
| 01-19 05:51 | Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference? | BUY | 0.8899999996 | $20.00 |
| 01-14 06:21 | Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9099999975 | $100.00 |