PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

CRYPTOBAGEL

0x531b910fb9666d7c8830b16ef52dbc2e62ca2c77

Realised P&L
$-606.08
Volume
$16.8k
Markets traded
346
Open portfolio
$182.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded346
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? · No0.9100.973$106.92+$6.92
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? · Yes0.7700.405$52.60$47.40
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.3600.065$22.75$103.25
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$2.00
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during January press conference? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00$20.00
First to 5k: Gold or ETH? · ETH0.4600.000$0.00$175.00
Will Powell say "Median" during January press conference? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00$20.00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00$30.40
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? · No0.5400.000$0.00$100.00
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025? · Yes0.3820.000$0.00$121.06
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$4.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$10.00
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.8670.000$0.00$100.00
Infinex FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$100.00
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 26? · Yes0.4780.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-16 10:06Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.7199999986$100.00
06-16 09:44World Cup: Any Team to Score 10+ Goals in the Group Stage?BUY0.8599999997$100.00
06-11 03:58World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?SELL0.955$95.49
05-22 08:47Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.0378611757$30.00
04-27 11:49Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?BUY0.9719999941$100.00
03-26 15:31Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on March 26?BUY0.3699999771$10.00
03-26 15:31Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 26?BUY0.4776119403$10.00
03-25 11:39US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY0.8$100.00
02-02 03:55Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.017$10.00
01-19 05:53Will Powell say "Sorry" during January press conference?BUY0.8199999934$20.00
01-19 05:52Will Powell say "Median" during January press conference?BUY0.4499999921$20.00
01-19 05:52Will Powell say "Percent" 25+ times during January press conference?BUY0.6899999952$20.00
01-19 05:52Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during January press conference?BUY0.6499999935$20.00
01-19 05:51Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?BUY0.8899999996$20.00
01-14 06:21Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?BUY0.9099999975$100.00