PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

user7777777

0x539d04ce381edb57d87d4cbfe9644c3ecfa70213

Realised P&L
$-21.5k
Volume
$835.1k
Markets traded
523
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded523
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? · No0.6480.795$1.1k+$206.43
Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.2640.103$442.58$686.53
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0460.021$38.18$44.01
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December? · No0.8390.915$36.60+$3.04
Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.3640.795$19.88+$10.78
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0240.025$13.87+$0.76
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027? · Yes0.2570.082$12.36$26.58
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? · No0.8670.805$11.82$0.91
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0220.015$11.21$5.12
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? · Yes0.1640.055$8.91$17.67
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.5040.012$2.17$89.14
Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.5160.951$0.95+$0.43
Discord IPO before 2027? · Yes0.8070.314$0.42$0.66
Will Freecs win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? · Yes0.0090.007$0.01$0.00
KBO: LG Twins vs. Kia Tigers · LG Twins0.4000.000$0.00$8.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-01 03:26Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?BUY0.48$4.80
07-01 01:31Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.655$6.55
06-30 21:45France leading at halftime?SELL0.05$0.70
06-30 21:44France leading at halftime?BUY0.4299999673$6.44
06-30 21:31France vs. Sweden: Draw at halftime?BUY0.5$5.50
06-30 18:33Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?SELL0.45$4.50
06-30 18:33Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?BUY0.61$6.10
06-30 15:30Will CZ post 20-39 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?BUY0.692$6.92
06-30 13:47Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on June 30?BUY0.3$2.40
06-30 12:38Will CZ post 20-39 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?BUY0.3$3.00
06-30 07:00Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 30?SELL0.160386$1.60
06-30 07:00Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 30?BUY0.22$2.20
06-30 06:02Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 30?SELL0.56$5.60
06-30 06:01Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 30?BUY0.69$6.90
06-30 02:52Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?BUY0.28$2.80