0x543ec849AE71fDFb608E0BA939fc2A36F6468884-1779943324814
0x543ec849ae71fdfb608e0ba939fc2a36f6468884
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $92.0k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $3.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yoon out of custody before 2027? · Yes | 0.139 | 0.101 | $1.8k | −$675.81 |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? · Yes | 0.134 | 0.107 | $1.2k | −$296.55 |
| Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections? · No | 0.042 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.0k |
| Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election? · No | 0.133 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election? · No | 0.134 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.8kat 0.222Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
- +$-74.72at 0.247Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
- +$-839.92at 0.257Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 18:04 | Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | BUY | 0.1239999658 | $3.00 |
| 08-01 18:03 | Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | BUY | 0.113687935 | $398.71 |
| 07-17 04:56 | Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999828 | $6.91 |
| 07-17 04:56 | Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | BUY | 0.1421989178 | $1.1k |
| 07-17 04:11 | Yoon out of custody before 2027? | BUY | 0.1387541596 | $2.5k |
| 06-04 06:36 | Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | SELL | 0.999 | $4.9k |
| 06-03 16:43 | Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | BUY | 0.0918594508 | $19.00 |
| 06-03 16:42 | Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.006 | $20.07 |
| 06-02 17:41 | Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections? | BUY | 0.0101748571 | $56.07 |
| 06-01 09:00 | Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.0929938138 | $80.80 |
| 06-01 08:59 | Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | BUY | 0.1299999983 | $60.00 |
| 06-01 08:59 | Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.1931240529 | $60.00 |
| 06-01 08:59 | Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.1152027951 | $60.00 |
| 06-01 08:58 | Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections? | BUY | 0.0458813233 | $60.00 |
| 06-01 08:57 | Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | BUY | 0.1299350315 | $100.00 |