0x5441cc74275aaf5378efd99d1d2f025d79c71f2d
- Realised P&L
- $22.50
- Volume
- $989.01
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $185.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration99.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.562 | $180.45 | +$84.22 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · Yes | 0.143 | 0.001 | $0.33 | −$94.95 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 15:40 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m? | BUY | 0.2997087919 | $96.23 |
| 07-28 11:59 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.1426488246 | $95.28 |