0x54A598106e0467DaCc1A4cEd3909582f72aAEe3D-1723093936269
0x54a598106e0467dacc1a4ced3909582f72aaee3d
- Realised P&L
- $-9.5k
- Volume
- $4.47M
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $6.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.215 | $2.1k | −$48.77 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.586 | 0.095 | $2.1k | −$10.6k |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.464 | 0.535 | $1.6k | +$214.92 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.528 | 0.165 | $205.41 | −$451.74 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.055 | $159.50 | −$826.49 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.095 | $95.00 | −$355.00 |
| Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 · Mayweather | 0.640 | 0.525 | $5.78 | −$1.26 |
| Will October be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.235 | $2.35 | +$1.05 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.045 | $0.17 | −$0.83 |
| Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? · Yes | 0.355 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.0kat 0.192Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,500 on the final trading day of March 2026?
- +$12.6kat 0.278Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$11.6kat 0.110Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$10.8kat 0.718Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 March 16-22?
- +$6.4kat 0.078Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 00:01 | Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.1k |
| 07-27 17:03 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.46386 | $1.4k |
| 07-27 17:02 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.250512648 | $7.5k |
| 07-20 19:37 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.362 | $10.9k |
| 07-18 08:58 | Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals | SELL | 0.24 | $3.3k |
| 07-18 01:12 | Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.2466566645 | $7.6k |
| 07-15 19:20 | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3549999998 | $1000.00 |
| 07-14 02:41 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.174 | $12.8k |
| 07-14 02:40 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.216 | $5.9k |
| 07-11 21:26 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.147 | $1.0k |
| 07-11 21:22 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1468064 | $1.0k |
| 07-11 21:13 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1749881779 | $1.3k |
| 07-11 21:07 | Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.413 | $2.06 |
| 07-10 12:02 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.163 | $10.1k |
| 07-10 10:47 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.167 | $26.0k |