PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x54A598106e0467DaCc1A4cEd3909582f72aAEe3D-1723093936269

0x54a598106e0467dacc1a4ced3909582f72aaee3d

Realised P&L
$-9.5k
Volume
$4.47M
Markets traded
97
Open portfolio
$6.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded97
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2200.215$2.1k$48.77
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.5860.095$2.1k$10.6k
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.4640.535$1.6k+$214.92
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5280.165$205.41$451.74
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? · Yes0.3400.055$159.50$826.49
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4500.095$95.00$355.00
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 · Mayweather0.6400.525$5.78$1.26
Will October be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes0.1300.235$2.35+$1.05
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2700.045$0.17$0.83
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? · Yes0.3550.000$0.00$1000.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 00:01Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.22$2.1k
07-27 17:03Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.46386$1.4k
07-27 17:02Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.250512648$7.5k
07-20 19:37Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.362$10.9k
07-18 08:58Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsSELL0.24$3.3k
07-18 01:12Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsBUY0.2466566645$7.6k
07-15 19:20Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY0.3549999998$1000.00
07-14 02:41Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.174$12.8k
07-14 02:40Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.216$5.9k
07-11 21:26Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.147$1.0k
07-11 21:22Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1468064$1.0k
07-11 21:13Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1749881779$1.3k
07-11 21:07Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.413$2.06
07-10 12:02Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.163$10.1k
07-10 10:47Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.167$26.0k